Are We Going Into A Recession

Dated: October 13 2020

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Are We going into a recession? Here is a question that keeps coming up and we keep getting asked. It’s important to remember, recession does not equal a housing crisis. According to Doug Brien, CEO of Mynd Property Management he stated, “With the exception of two recessions the Great Recession from 2007-2009 & the Gulf War recession from 1990-1991, no other recessions have impacted the U.S. housing market, according to Freddie Fac Home Price Index data collected from 1975 to 2018.” Here is an example of a graph from information from CoreLogic that shows just that. Obviously, the last crash on the housing market in 2008 saw a devastating decrease in home prices because of what was happening back in 2008. In 2008, loans that were rated as D loans were being sold as A loans, also back then we had stated income loans where people could just state what they made without proving it, and therefore often weren’t truthful and couldn’t afford the payments, so we had major defaults. Also, back in 2008 homes from one month to the next were appraising for twenty, thirty, or even as high as over one hundred thousand dollars more than the previous home being sold. That does not make sense and should never have happened. So what is really important ant that we have to understand is that 2008 is much different than what is happening now. According to David Rosenberg, Chief Economist of Gluskin Sheff + Associates Inc. States, “What 9/11 has in common with what is happening today is that the shock has also generated fear, angst and anxiety among the general public. People avoided crowds then as they believed another terrorist attack was coming and are acting the same today to avoid getting sick. The same parts of the economy are under pressure- airlines, leisure, hospitality, restaurants, entertainment- Consumer discretionary services in general.” It’s as though all of those services are on pause so our economy has been put on pause as people are sheltering in place. So if we compare this to 9/11 and Dot.com Crash we see the S&P 500 dropping drastically from Sept of 2000 until October of 2002, however at the same time we see an increase in Annual Home Price Appreciation ranging from 6.6% to 8.6%. Obviously this is very different from what we saw in 2008. Hey, I’m not giving my opinion, I'm just stating what experts are saying and I thought it could be of service to you. Feel free to reach out to me here at Coyle & Verberne Real Estate with any questions or concerns, we are always here to help. #Sacramento #SacramentoCA #SacramentoRealestate #homebuying #homeselling #housingmarket #marketupdate #howtobuyahome #processofbuyingahome #canibuyahome #shouldibuyahome #shouldisellmyhome #howtosellmyhome #sacramentohousingmarket #coyleandverberne Coyle & Verberne Real Estate | ?916-761-8201 |⁠ ? www.coyleandverberne.com | ⁠ ? taracoylerealestate@gmail.com⁠ ⁠Powered by Exp Realty DRE 02054880

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Tara Coyle

Get to know Tara Coyle Coyle & Verberne Real Estate is committed to getting results and building trust for our clients. Tara customizes a tailored strategy to meet each individual’s needs. Tara, ....

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